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Andrew Odlyzko Public Talk (21 Oct)
Wednesday 21st October 2015 - Wednesday 21st October 2015
11:00am - 12:30pm
Meade Room, Faculty of Economics
Many sources, including scholarly ones, claim that investors in the Railway Mania had no rational grounds for their profit expectations. In fact, they had available to them a systematic demand estimation methodology that was required by Parliament. This methodology had proved spectacularly accurate during the smaller railway mania of the 1830s, the only instance that has been found of accurate demand prediction for a revolutionary technology. However, this method was based on several false assumptions, and had that been understood, the investment disaster of the Railway Mania could have been predicted beforehand.
Andrew Odlyzko (University of Minnesota)
"The Uses, Abuses, and Non-uses of Quantitative Models in the British Railway Mania"
Andrew Odlyzko will give a public talk called "The Uses, Abuses, and Non-uses of Quantitative Models in the British Railway Mania", on 21st October 2015 at 11am - 12.30pm in the Meade Room
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