Structural Change at a Disaggregated Level: Sectoral Heterogeneity Matters

I analyze a disaggregated structural change model for the US economy in the post-Second World War period. My results reveal that the positive correlation between the relative price and the relative quantity of services with respect to goods, a fact that challenges CES preferences commonly used in the structural change literature, largely reflects the heterogeneous makeup of the services sector.

The Effect of Stock Splits on Liquidity in a Dynamic Model

We develop a dynamic framework to detect the occurrence of permanent and transitory breaks in the illiquidity process. We propose various tests that can be applied separately to individual events and can be aggregated across different events over time for a given firm or across different firms. In an empirical study, we use this methodology to study the impact of stock splits on the illiquidity dynamics of the Dow Jones index constituents and the effects of reverse splits using stocks from the S&P 500, S&P 400 and S&P 600 indices.

Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ)

We introduce a new class of semiparametric dynamic autoregressive models for the Amihud illiquidity measure, which captures both the long-run trend in the illiquidity series with a nonparametric component and the short-run dynamics with an autoregressive component. We develop a GMM estimator based on conditional moment restrictions and an efficient semiparametric ML estimator based on an i.i.d. assumption. We derive large sample properties for our estimators. We further develop a methodology to detect the occurrence of permanent and transitory breaks in the illiquidity process.

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