More than Words: Leaders' Speech and Risky Behavior During a Pandemic

This paper investigates whether the anti-scientific rhetoric of modern populists can induce followers to engage in risky behavior. We gather electoral information, credit card expenses, and geo-localized mobile phone data for approximately 60 million devices in Brazil. After the president publicly dismissed the risks of the COVID-19 pandemic and challenged scientific recommendations, social distancing in pro-government localities declined. Consistently, credit card expenses increased immediately.

Leonard Bocquet

Host:

Prof. Vasco Carvalho

Visiting from:

22 Nov 2022 - 2 Dec 2022

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Climate Change and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States

We investigate the long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change across 48 U.S. states over the period 1963-2016 using a novel econometric strategy that links devia­ tions of temperature and precipitation (weather) from their long-term moving-average historical norms (climate) to various state-specific economic performance indicators at the aggregate and sectoral levels. We show that climate change has a long-lasting adverse impact on real output in various states and economic sectors, and on labour productivity and employment in the United States.

Dr. Nicholas Caramp

Host:

Prof. Florin Bilbiie

Visiting:

23rd Nov 2022

transmission
Prof. Per Krusell

Host:

Prof. Florin Bilbiie

Visiting from:

21st Nov 2022 - 22nd Nov 2022

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Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements

Power sharing refers to sharing of political power by different groups in the same government, like, for example, in a coalition government. Power sharing is a central pillar of armed conflict mediation and de-escalation attempts worldwide and is thus employed as a tool to reduce political violence. A large majority of peace agreements include power sharing provisions, the most recent ones include Libya, the Mindanao agreement and Colombia.

Dr. Hanbaek Lee

Host: 

Prof. Vasco Carvalho

Visiting from: 

15th March 2023 - 30th March 2023

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Dr. Paul Bouscasse

Research Interests

Macroeconomics, International Finance, Economic History

Room

75

transmission
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